The Dynamics of Crime Risk Perceptions

Abstract We study how residents form beliefs about the prevalence of crime in their neighborhood. document process learning local for a uniquely long period 10 years after taking up residence. Our analysis is based on four successive waves large survey Netherlands matched with administrative register data complete history places residence between 1995 and 2011. find that are much more favorable shortly move into neighborhood than they longer move. The adjustments only level off many years. A part this adjustment can be explained by accumulation direct experiences crime. findings show victimization outcome calculated risk; it costly